Stocks and dollar

Thanks to the Fed promising to keep interest rates at zero for some time, the US dollar has
already partially replaced Yen as #1 carry trade funding currency. As a result, the anticorrelation
that developed between stocks and the dollar is worth noting. The chart below illustrates
SP 500 index vs inverse US dollar index. While both could rally sharply on positive news like
better than expected jobs number, eventually the currency trade should prevail. Don’t be surprised 
if stocks correct sharply early next week.

SP500 vs inverse USD, 3 months

SP500 vs inverse USD, 3 months

SP500 index vs inverse dollar, 6 months

SP500 index vs inverse dollar, 6 months

Saturday, December 5th, 2009 The global financial and economic crisis

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